D.V. Ponomareva, Z.R. Usmanova, D.E. Barabanov
DOI: https://doi.org/10.25689/NP.2023.4.153-165
Abstract
The present research paper focuses on the planning of hard-to-recover gas reservoir development under conditions of geological uncertainty. An approach to drilling risk mitigation at the stage of geological and reservoir simulation modeling is described. Matrix of uncertainty parameters is generated, the properties that have the largest effect on reserves volume and gas production profile are identified based on sensitivity analysis, reliability of forecast production profile is assessed. The work performed resulted in a proposed plan of actions to reduce geological and technological uncertainties.
References
2. Nikiforov D.V., Glukhikh I.N. Improved method of analogues-objects selection when designing oil and gas fields development by using case-based reasoning. Tyumen Petroleum Research Center, Tyumen Sate University, pp. 109-110. (in Russian)
3. Bogdanov E.V. Uncertainty quantifying of the green field: experimental design integration for the development strategy optimization. Surgutneftegaz, pp. 165-166. (in Russian)
4. Russian Standard GOST 34100.3-2017 Uncertainty of measurement. Part 3. Guide to the expression of uncertainty in measurement. pp. 8-24. (in Russian)
5. Vasiliev Yu.N., Gimadeyeva R.N., Ilnitskaya V.G. Uncertainties and risks of gas field development design and management.
6. Putilov I.S., Potekhin D.V. Galkin V.I. Creating technological polivariation 3D modeling with quality control of the models realization for raising reliability. Perm National Research Polytechnical University, p. 17. (in Russian)
7. A.S. Nulin. Optimization of objective functions. Analysis, numerical methods, design of experiments. Moscow: Fizmatlit. 2009, p. 19. (in Russian)
Authors
D.V. Ponomareva, Chief Specialist, Tyumen Petroleum Research Center LLC
42, Gorky st., Tyumen, 625048, Russian Federation
E-mail: dvponomareva2@tnnc.rosneft.ru
Z.R. Usmanova, Chief Specialist, Tyumen Petroleum Research Center LLC
42, Gorky st., 625048, Tyumen, 625048, Russian Federation
E-mail: zrusmanova@tnnc.rosneft.ru
D.E. Barabanov, Specialist, Tyumen Petroleum Research Center LLC
42, Gorky st., 625048, Tyumen, 625048, Russian Federation
E-mail: debarabanov@tnnc.rosneft.ru
For citation:
D.V. Ponomareva, Z.R. Usmanova, D.E. Barabanov Otsenka riskov pri planirovanii razrabotki plasta T na osnove analiza neopredelennostey i mnogovariantnykh raschotov [Risk assessment during planning of T reservoir development based on uncertainty analysis and multivariate estimations]. Neftyanaya Provintsiya, No. 4(36), 2023. pp. 153-165. DOI https://doi.org/10.25689/NP.2023.4.153-165. EDN MSFAAW (in Russian)